Preliminary

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**What happens in stage 1: Incubation Stage (prodromal)**
 * Intellectuals desert the existing system. Sharp criticism of the authorities occurs and faith in the system is lost. Growing incompetence of the ruling classes.
 * At least one class is on the rise economically. It begins to demand participation in govenment and careers open to talent. Upper classes lock them out and the ranks of aristocracy close. Class distinctions become more hardened.
 * Government experiences serious fiscal and financial problems.

**An unsuccessful rebellion:**
 * Split goals
 * Unorganized/no clear leader or goal
 * Argument within the rebellion

**A successful rebellion:**
 * Common goal (majority)
 * Passionate desire to have a revolution and stick with it
 * Government underestimates people (gets cocky)

**Examples of stage 1 in successful rebellions:**
 * In the American Revolution, there was a raise in taxes (for the Americans) that went to the British Government. People eventually got fed up with this and decided to rebel.
 * Cuban revolution began when badly armed rebels attacked the Moncada Barracks.
 * People in the Cuban revolution were angry because Batista had overthrown the previous government and cancelled all further elections.
 * French people were fed up with the rich government because they were starving while the government was spending lavishly and because taxes were too high. Thus began the French revolution.

**Examples of stage 1 in unsuccessful rebellions:**
 * Iran 2 009/2010 was an unsuccessful rebellion because there was no organization, and protests were very spontaneous. Both police and protestors were violent, leading to some people being fed up with both sides.
 * Egypt 2011 (as of today)
 * Jose Marti led unsuccessful revolt against Spain